CENTRAL ASIA AS A GROWING REGION OF GLOBAL INTEREST: PROSPECTS AND RISKS IN A CHANGING GEOPOLITICAL LANDSCAPE

Abstract

Central Asia is undergoing a profound geopolitical transformation, evolving from a perceived periphery of global politics into a pivotal hub of international trade, diplomacy, and energy security. This paper examines the region’s rising significance by analyzing demographic growth, economic diversification, transport connectivity, and diplomatic agency while assessing key risks including great-power rivalry, environmental stress, and institutional challenges. Drawing on recent scholarship and geopolitical assessments, it argues that Central Asia is positioned to become a middle-power bloc in Eurasia, with Kazakhstan and Uzbekistan emerging as strategic actors. However, sustained regional integration, balanced diplomacy, and adaptive governance will determine whether the region can navigate growing external pressures and internal vulnerabilities to shape its future trajectory.